
The pound reached its best level against the dollar since mid-September, rising from 1.3410 to a high of 1.3479 after a Democratic sweep of Congress. Early counts gave Democrats at least 243 House seats and 54 to 55 Senate seats.
Danske Bank said markets were unwinding US exceptionalism trades and Treasury yields were falling.
Falling Treasury yields and a weaker dollar can support dollar-priced commodities, while unwinding US exceptionalism trades signals a shift in capital flows. Analysts expect the dollar losses to be short-lived, so the price effect on feed markets is limited.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.