
Experts expect global rice prices to stay elevated through the current quarter and Q1 2027 as El Niño threatens paddy output in South and Southeast Asia. Export offers have risen by $20 a tonne from India and Pakistan and $30 from Thailand and Vietnam since July, with prices near a two-year high.
Reduced rainfall in key Asian rice regions tightens supply and supports rice prices, which can raise costs for feed buyers using rice by-products and push substitution toward corn and wheat.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.