The USD/CAD pair fell toward 1.3955 on Wednesday as the US Dollar Index slid to a one-month low after US midterm results gave Democrats majorities in both chambers. Lower US bond yields and hopes for Iran diplomacy added pressure on the dollar.
A weaker US dollar and a stronger Canadian dollar can shift the cost of Canadian-origin canola and meal in dollar terms and affect export competitiveness. Iran diplomacy hopes also ease crude oil, which feeds into energy and freight costs for feed ingredients.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.