
Oil prices rose in a volatile session as investors awaited Washington's next move in the war with Iran. Brent gained 0.8% to $104.42 and WTI rose 0.5% to $96.59, reversing earlier declines, after Democrats won control of both houses of Congress in the US midterm elections.
Renewed Hormuz supply risk and US strikes on Iran keep a geopolitical premium in crude, which feeds into feed-ingredient costs through energy, freight and fertiliser channels. Profit-taking after October's rally limits the upside for now.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.