
Rabi crop sowing in India was down 46% as of October 30, covering 37.56 lakh hectares versus 69.02 lakh a year earlier. Wheat sowing reached only 19,000 hectares against 3.34 lakh last year, with officials blaming a 13% deficient June-September monsoon and poor soil moisture.
A sharp shortfall in early wheat planting raises the risk of a smaller Indian harvest in March-April, which could tighten exporters' supplies and support world wheat prices. Lower oilseed and pulse plantings also signal tighter domestic supplies for feed and meal markets.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.