
Gold slipped to around $3,900 as US 10-year Treasury yields rose to 4.954% and December Fed hike odds climbed to 79%. Mixed US-Iran headlines and a stronger dollar added pressure, with JOLTS and factory orders data showing firmer US activity.
Higher real yields and a firmer dollar raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets and tighten financial conditions, which can weigh on commodity prices broadly, including feed ingredients priced in dollars.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.