
Parts of Rio Grande do Sul went up to 10 consecutive days with less than 1 mm of rain between October 13 and November 2. Climatempo forecasts above-average November rain in the Produção region and below-average rain in the Campanha region through November 9, while soybean planting reached 11% by October 30.
Renewed rain eases the dryness risk to early-planted soybeans in the state's main growing areas, so the effect on prices is limited unless the forecast dry spell in Campanha persists.
After 324 past neutral weather events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.