Q3 real GDP grew at a 3.4% annualized rate, up from 2.2% in Q2, driven by consumer spending and a 9.4% rise in private fixed investment. September PCE inflation reached 3.6% year over year, while inflation-adjusted disposable income fell 0.3%.
Initial jobless claims dropped to 194,000 and housing remained weak.
Strong growth alongside sticky inflation and rising rates supports a firmer dollar and tighter financing, which can weigh on dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices and reduce farm credit availability, though the direct feed-price effect is modest.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.