
The US Dollar Index rose after JOLTS job openings beat forecasts at 7.523 million and September factory orders rose 1.8% month over month. EUR/USD held near 1.1200 while oil pulled back about 1%, and USD/JPY climbed toward 158.50.
A firmer dollar lowers the dollar price of US commodities and makes US feed exports less competitive abroad, while the weaker oil backdrop reduces energy and biofuel-linked support for feedstocks.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.