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Former finance minister Maílson da Nóbrega said an artificial cut in the Selic could trigger capital flight and push the dollar to between R$6 and R$7. He was responding to a proposal by André Lara Resende to coordinate fiscal and monetary policy so rates could fall gradually.
He warned the measure could compromise economic stability.
If capital flight pushes the real toward R$6 to R$7 per dollar, Brazilian buyers would face sharply higher costs for dollar-priced feed ingredients and fertilizers. The forecast is a warning about risk rather than a confirmed policy move.
timesbrasil.com.brLara MadeiraNov 3, 2026After 301 past bullish macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
