
Four New World screwworm cases, including a dog, have been reported near the Mexican border in Texas. The article discusses the potential for a major outbreak to reduce an already low US cattle herd and push beef prices higher.
A serious outbreak would cut calf crops and cattle availability in an already tight herd, supporting live and feeder cattle prices; the article is largely speculative opinion rather than new market data.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.