
The USDA confirmed a New World screwworm case in a calf in La Pryor, Texas, about 30 miles from the US-Mexico border. It is the first domestic case in decades, and the USDA has activated personnel on the ground.
A confirmed US outbreak threatens the national herd and could restrict cattle movement, tightening supplies and lifting feeder and live cattle prices. Cattle futures rallied sharply on the news.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA confirmation of the first US New World screwworm case in a Texas calf (reported 2026-06-03) is the key supply-shock/sentiment catalyst that drove the sharp feeder cattle rally.