
Mexico recorded a nearly 32% increase in confirmed New World screwworm cases in the latest monthly data, with the concentration of cases moving north. The total stood at 6,703 animal cases.
Cases spreading toward the U.S. border raise the risk that the border stays closed longer, keeping feeder cattle supply tight and supporting cattle prices.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.