
A key gauge of the dollar rose 0.8% on Friday, heading for its biggest weekly gain in five weeks, after US consumer prices rose 8.6% year over year, above estimates. Strategists described the dollar as the only remaining safe haven.
Hot US inflation raised expectations of more aggressive Fed tightening, lifting the dollar and weighing on dollar-denominated commodity prices. Higher rates also increase the carrying cost of feed inventories.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Hot US CPI (8.6% y/y) on June 10 sparked a jump in the dollar as traders priced a more aggressive Fed and sought a safe haven, starting the 5-day rally.