
The yen weakened 30 sen against the dollar in New York on November 2, closing at 157.90-158.00, after four sessions of gains. Traders trimmed positions ahead of the US midterm elections, and a sharp fall in WTI crude to the mid-$96 range and lower US long-term yields (down to 4.86%) limited the dollar's advance.
Japan imports nearly all its crude, so lower oil prices ease its import bill, but a weaker yen raises the yen cost of imported feed grains and meal. Falling US yields and oil also reduce pressure on the dollar.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.