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The spread between US crude and natural gas reached a 20-month high of about 25:1 after US crude rebounded 88% from a February 13-year low to above $49 a barrel. US natural gas futures stayed near $2 per MMBtu.
Drillers may shift toward oil and NGLs as the ratio widens.
A wide oil-to-gas ratio encourages oil-directed drilling, which can later affect associated gas supply, while crude strength supports energy-wide prices.
businesstimes.com.sgMay 25, 2016After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 37 past neutral macro events, Natural Gas moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.2% to +12.9%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
