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FAPRI-MU research projects that reduced feeder cattle imports from Mexico between 2027 and 2031 would tighten US cattle supplies. The analysis expects higher feeder cattle, fed cattle and beef prices, and greater Mexican beef production.
The outcome depends on whether imports recover toward historical levels after the screwworm-related restrictions.
Fewer Mexican feeder cattle means fewer animals for US feedlots, which supports cattle prices and raises feed demand for feedlot rations. Mexican beef output could expand to fill the trade gap.
farms.comNov 2, 2026After 78 past bullish trade events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.2%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 47 past bullish trade events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
