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US intermodal rail volume rose 12.6% year over year in week 41, the sharpest weekly gain of 2026. Overall rail traffic rose 8.5%.
Shippers are moving freight from trucks to rail because of high diesel prices and tight truck capacity.
A shift to rail eases pressure on truck capacity and can change how grain and feed reach ports and plants, but it has little direct effect on commodity prices.
After 153 past logistics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -2.7% to +4.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.