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The EIA forecasts that US diesel will average $4.49 per gallon in 2027, which is 83 cents above 2025 levels. Current spot diesel stands at $6.352 per gallon.
Spot trucking rates for vans, reefers and flatbeds are slightly lower in the latest reading.
Persistently high diesel costs raise farm and feed transport costs, and the forecast implies only gradual relief over the coming year.
After 86 past bearish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.