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Nov 2, 2026WEATHERIndia

If Winter Comes, Will It Be Cold Enough? El Niño To Decide

ETV Bharat reports that El Niño is expected to bring unusually warm conditions to India through February 2027. It says kharif paddy and pulses have already been damaged, and rabi wheat and oilseeds are at risk.

WHY IT MATTERS

Expected losses in Indian rabi wheat and oilseeds could tighten supplies and support wheat and related oilseed-based feed prices.

AFFECTSWheat (SRW)▲

SOURCE
etvbharat.comETV Bharat English TeamNov 2, 2026

Price reaction & history

Wheat (SRW)▲bullishSO FAR1d +0.1%5d —20d —

After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.

May 10, 2018El Niño pattern could emerge by 2018-19 winter: U.S. forecaster-1.0%
Oct 21, 2022La Nina-Enhanced Drought Brings Slow Start to Winter Wheat-0.4%
May 19, 2017El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+3.0%
Feb 17, 2025Winter Wheat Futures Bulls Come to Life. Here’s Why More Price Upside Is Possible.+1.1%
Sep 28, 2023Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño-5.3%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

Wheat (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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