BPS reported a September 2026 trade surplus of US$3.36 billion, with exports of $27.59 billion and imports of $24.23 billion, lifted by higher oil prices. October headline inflation was 0.22% month on month and 3.23% year on year.
The rupiah closed at 18,156 on the day.
A trade surplus driven by costlier oil imports does not necessarily support the rupiah, so currency pressure on imported feed costs may persist.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 116 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.