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USDA's October WASDE projects all-rice production at 157.7 million cwt, down 24% from last year, with harvested acres down about 25%. Ending stocks are forecast at 40 million cwt and the season-average price at $15.20/cwt, up from $12.40.
A tighter U.S. stocks-to-use ratio supports domestic rice prices and adds upside pressure on global quotes given El Niño and Middle East supply concerns.
farmprogress.comNov 2, 2026After 88 past bullish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +2.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
