◂ Event Timeline

Dec 18, 2018REPORTUS

US wheat exports cut by 25 million bushels

USDA's Economic Research Service cut 2018-19 U.S. wheat exports by 25 million bushels to 1 billion. Export sales through six months are only 41 percent of the total, below the 10-year average of 52 percent.

WHY IT MATTERS

Lower U.S. exports and slow HRW sales leave more wheat in storage and add pressure to wheat prices, while Russia gains market share on price.

AFFECTSWheat (HRW)▼Wheat (SRW)▼

SOURCE
hpj.comHPJ StaffDec 18, 2018

Price reaction & history

Wheat (HRW)▼bearishSO FAR1d -0.9%5d -3.7%20d -5.1%

After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.

Mar 7, 2019Grain Journal | Fourth Quarter 2018 Wheat Transportation Costs…-0.3%
Nov 28, 2025First post-shutdown WASDE showed big supplies - High Plains Journal+2.4%
Feb 5, 2019USW Reports on World Wheat Production and Exports - U.S. Wheat Associates-3.3%
Oct 22, 2026Wheat markets sink as weak exports outweigh drought concerns-3.4%
Apr 9, 2026Wheat stocks hit 5-year high as USDA holds export outlook steady+5.1%

Wheat (SRW)▼bearishSO FAR1d -0.2%5d -1.8%20d -2.2%

After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.

Mar 7, 2019Grain Journal | Fourth Quarter 2018 Wheat Transportation Costs…-0.0%
Nov 28, 2025First post-shutdown WASDE showed big supplies - High Plains Journal+2.1%
Oct 1, 2019USDA Expects Farmers to Harvest 13.8 Billion Bushels of Corn-4.8%
Feb 7, 2025Ukrainian wheat exports exceeded 11 mln tons-1.0%
Jul 28, 2025Australia could increase wheat exports to 25 mln tons next season-1.3%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

Wheat (HRW) KWHEAT · GP ▸

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Wheat (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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