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Louisiana old-crop rice cash offers held near $23.50 per barrel, about $14.50/cwt, while 2020 crop bids were around $20 per barrel. USDA's Planting Intentions report projected 2.85 million acres of rice, up over 300,000 from 2019.
Long-grain acreage is projected at 2.1 million acres.
Higher planted acreage threatens to pressure prices, but the market has so far held firm, and the 2020 discount to old crop signals expected weakness ahead. Feed buyers should monitor acreage and demand.
ricefarming.comVickyMay 15, 2020After 87 past bearish report events, RICE moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Planting intentions up over 300,000 acres and new-crop bids well below old-crop cash imply a bearish supply outlook and a steep inverse that pressures nearby prices.
