DairyNZ reported that New Zealand's dairy sector produced 21.76 billion litres of milk and 2.024 billion kilograms of milksolids in the 2025/26 season, the first time output passed 2 billion kilograms. Milksolids output rose 4.5% year on year while milk volume rose 3.5%, and the national herd count fell by 102 to 10,268 with cow numbers up 1% to 4.72 million.
A record New Zealand milk supply adds to global dairy export availability, which is mildly bearish for world dairy prices and for milk-based feed ingredients. The effect on US feed markets is limited, so the impact is modest.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.