
Gold fell below $4,000 an ounce in October 2026 and by late October was near $3,907, on track for a second monthly loss. Silver fell below $50 and lost about 15% in the month.
The decline is attributed to Fed rate hikes lifting real yields, which raised gold's opportunity cost, while central banks continued heavy buying.
Rising real yields and a hawkish Fed are pressuring precious metals, a macro theme that tends to strengthen the dollar and tighten financial conditions. The direct effect on feed commodity prices is limited.
After 4,478 past macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.