Global dry-bulk freight rates jumped this week, with Panamax daily hire rising from about $6,000 to $9,000 over the past month. A charterer reported offers as high as $36/MT for US Gulf to Japan grain shipment in December, which he declined.
Higher ocean freight raises the landed cost of US grain and feed exports to Asia, narrowing US export competitiveness and supporting FOB basis discounts on corn and soybeans.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.