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Oil fell about 2% on Monday to a three-week low as the expiry of the higher-priced Brent contract, a stronger US dollar and profit-taking pushed prices down. Concerns about rising crude supplies and high interest rates added pressure.
A stronger dollar and weaker crude reduce energy-linked costs and make dollar-priced commodities more expensive for foreign buyers, a mild bearish signal for biofuel-linked feed inputs.
reuters.comScott DisavinoOct 2, 2023After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the Oct 2 drop: Brent contract expiry, stronger dollar, profit-taking and rising crude supply worries pushed prices to a three-week low.
On Oct 2 Brent fell to a three-week low on a stronger dollar, contract expiry, profit-taking and rate worries, starting the window's decline.
Oil fell about 2% to a three-week low on the Brent contract expiry, stronger dollar and profit-taking, matching the magnitude of the move, though dated just after the window end.
