
China is adding 11 currencies to the trade-weighted basket used to measure the yuan's value, reducing the weight of the US dollar. The central bank is promoting a multi-currency measure to shift market attention away from the yuan-dollar rate, after the yuan lost about 7 percent against the dollar in 2016.
A basket-based yuan framework signals a less dollar-focused currency policy, which can reduce the sensitivity of Chinese import costs to dollar strength. The direct effect on feed commodity prices is small.
After 42 past neutral policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 41 past policy events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.4%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.