USDA data showed 531 million pounds of beef in cold storage at end-November, up 4.1 percent year over year. Beef production in 2016 rose 6 percent while steer prices fell 18 percent, and the cow herd continued expanding.
Expanding cow herd and higher beef output point to ample beef supply, supporting bearish cattle price expectations.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.