DTN meteorologist Bryce Anderson says 2017 weather patterns resemble 2001, a year of record U.S. soybean yields and a fourth-largest corn crop. He sees neutral to El Niño conditions and little threat of a production cut.
A second consecutive record U.S. crop would add supply to already heavy stocks, which points to bearish pressure on corn and soybean prices.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.