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The euro reached its strongest level in three years at the end of the week as uncertainty from US tariff policy raised doubts about the dollar's traditional safe-haven role. Bunds also attracted safe-haven demand.
Currency moves driven by tariff uncertainty can change the relative cost of US and EU agricultural exports. A weaker dollar generally supports commodity prices measured in dollars.
bloomberg.comVassilis Karamanis, Naomi TajitsuApr 14, 2025After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Doubts about the dollar's safe-haven role and demand for euro assets and Bunds supported euro strength to a three-year high (sentiment/capital flows).
