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Soybean futures fell after USDA left U.S. domestic soybean ending stocks unchanged at 420 million bushels, contrary to trade expectations of a cut. Wheat futures rallied on Brazilian demand for U.S. wheat and firmer export expectations, while total U.S. soybean export commitments reached 51.0 million tonnes, up 21% year on year.
Unchanged soybean stocks despite strong exports signal a looser U.S. balance than the market expected, which pressures soy prices. Firm wheat export demand supports wheat prices.
woodallgrain.comFeb 9, 2017After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
