
Oil prices settled lower on May 3, 2024, with Brent July futures down 71 cents to $82.96 and WTI June down 84 cents to $78.11, posting the steepest weekly loss in three months. Weak US April jobs data and uncertainty over the timing of Federal Reserve rate cuts weighed on sentiment.
Lower crude prices reduce input costs for ethanol and biofuel production, which pressures DDGS and corn demand signals. Softer energy prices also weaken the case for biofuel-linked soybean oil demand.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.