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Nomura analysts argue that the pace and sequence of ECB policy normalisation will shape the size of any euro recovery later in 2017, with early rate hikes before tapering seen as more euro-positive. They note that the timing is expected to matter after the French elections.
A stronger euro from earlier ECB tightening would make dollar-priced US feed grains and soymeal more expensive for European buyers, though the effect is a forecast rather than a current event.
octaafrica.netMar 31, 2017After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
