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Glanbia has not offered spring gluten-free oat contracts to around 20 growers in Ireland because winter contract uptake covered most orders. The 2016 gluten-free contract price was €182/t, a €60/t premium over standard feed oats.
Fewer premium contracts reduce demand for gluten-free milling oats, which tends to leave surplus oats to be sold at feed-grade prices.
After 17 past bearish trade events, Oats moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (71% higher; middle half -4.2% to +5.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.