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CME Group forecasts feeder cattle futures could climb above $200 by autumn 2023, which would be the highest since September 2015. Widespread drought has forced early culling and is shrinking the herd, and USDA has lowered its 2023 red meat supply forecast.
Analysts expect tighter cattle and beef supplies next year.
A shrinking herd and lower red meat supply from drought point to higher cattle and beef prices, which raises costs for feeder and fed cattle buyers.
farmprogress.comGinger RowseyNov 15, 2022After 80 past bullish weather events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.8% to +1.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 79 past bullish weather events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
