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National negotiated hog carcass prices rose about $30 per cwt (67%) in six weeks to roughly $75.50 in mid-April 2019, the highest since mid-July. The April lean hog contract expired at $79.30, with the rally driven mainly by optimism about pork export demand.
Expected record pork exports against heavier hog weights support hog prices, while higher exports help offset large domestic supplies.
nationalhogfarmer.comRon PlainApr 15, 2019After 85 past bullish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +4.5%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Mid-April cash carcass price surge and April contract expiry at $79.30 reflect export-demand-driven strength, and expiry/cash convergence likely contributed to futures buying.
Describes the six-week rally in hog prices on export optimism and the April contract expiry at $79.30, which is consistent with the move, though dated just after the window.
