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BBH argues the dollar bull move is not over, as monetary policy divergence has not peaked. It expects the Fed to hike in mid-June and begin reducing its balance sheet, while the ECB and BoJ remain accommodative.
Continued policy divergence favors a firmer dollar, which can pressure US export commodity prices and raise import costs for emerging-market feed buyers.
octaafrica.netMay 29, 2017After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
