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Guyana's Essequibo rice farmers report shrinking margins after the loss of the PetroCaribe arrangement with Venezuela, which had once paid up to US$700 a ton. Paddy now fetches around US$375 a ton, and acreage has not yet declined.
This is a regional income story with limited effect on world prices, since the Essequibo rice sector is small relative to global supply.
After 468 past policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.0% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.