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India expanded its rice export curbs to cover all varieties it ships abroad, and confirmed a 20% export tax on parboiled rice plus a minimum shipment price on basmati. The measures follow a rise in domestic food prices ahead of next year's election.
Speculation is growing that sugar shipments could be restricted next, and a wheat tariff may be scrapped.
India is the world's top rice exporter, responsible for almost 40% of global rice trade, so broader curbs remove supply and push global rice prices higher. Possible sugar or wheat restrictions would add further upward pressure on those markets.
business-standard.comBloombergAug 28, 2023After 168 past bullish policy events, RICE moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.1%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 137 past neutral policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
