
Indian Commerce Minister Nirmala Sitharaman defended the government's decision to cut and then re-impose wheat import duties, saying the moves responded to drought and then to a bumper crop forecast. Farmers in Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra have protested that falling prices, worsened by the duty removal, are hurting incomes.
The import-duty swings shaped Indian wheat import demand, and the bumper crop outlook points to weaker domestic prices and fewer imports ahead.
After 122 past bearish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.