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Latin American currencies recovered from record lows on March 20, 2020, with Brazil's real and Chile's peso rising more than 1%. The gains followed the Federal Reserve's opening of dollar swap lines with nine central banks, worth up to $450 billion, and central bank liquidity measures.
Easing currency stress in Brazil and Mexico could support local demand and export capacity for feed grains and meals, but the rally remains fragile and the dollar could rebound if funding strains return. Currency swings feed directly into Brazilian soybean and meal export pricing.
financialpost.comReutersMar 20, 2020After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
