
USDA's July cattle on feed report showed June placements into large feedlots up 16 percent year over year at 1.77 million head, about 10 percent above analyst expectations. Total on-feed numbers on July 1 exceeded 10.8 million, 465,000 head above last year.
Surprisingly strong placements and high feedlot inventories signal more fed cattle ahead and robust grain demand from feedlots, while the profitable feedlot returns encourage continued placements.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.