
Traders rushed into dollars on Friday after Britain voted to leave the European Union, buying US Treasuries and unwinding bets tied to a Remain outcome. The move was a surprise to markets that had expected the vote to stay.
A rush into dollars strengthens the US currency, which tends to lower dollar-quoted grain and meal prices and makes US exports relatively more expensive for importers. The effect on feed markets is mainly through currency and risk sentiment.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The surprise result set off a scramble for dollars and Treasuries as Remain bets were unwound, pushing EUR/USD lower.