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The dollar, which had its worst first half since 1973, is heading for its first monthly gain of 2025. The rebound followed the Federal Reserve holding rates, stronger-than-expected US growth data, and easing trade war fears.
A firmer dollar makes USD-priced grains, oilseeds and meals more expensive for overseas buyers, which can weigh on export demand and prices.
reuters.comNaomi RovnickJul 31, 2025After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
