Rabobank reports that the absence of El Niño has increased Peruvian fishmeal and fish oil output this season, with anchovy quotas up 56% from 2016. Demand for marine ingredients is changing as producers adopt insect and algae alternatives.
About 500,000 tonnes of extra Peruvian fishmeal supply is expected, which should soften high marine ingredient prices. Growing substitution also limits future demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 55 past neutral weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.