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Nidera Australia's Peter McMeekin says global grain markets are being driven by weather, with drought cutting US spring wheat and dryness in Saskatchewan and parts of Europe pulling yields lower. He notes USDA put US wheat output at 47.9 million tonnes and that Canada's forecast was cut 10% to 28.4 million tonnes, with further downgrades likely.
Drought-driven cuts in major North American and European wheat crops tighten export supplies and tend to support wheat prices, though the article frames world stocks as still adequate, limiting the upside.
graincentral.comGuest AuthorAug 1, 2017After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
