OPEC is reportedly working on an exit strategy to phase out its production cuts gradually, alongside negotiations to extend the cuts to the end of 2018. The group is likely to endorse the outline at its November 30 meeting in Vienna, with full details expected later in 2018.
A gradual exit plan would reduce the risk of a sudden surge in supply when the cuts end, which limits downside risk to crude prices over the longer term.
After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.