U.S. grain and soybean futures extended losses after a USDA monthly report raised domestic corn production and supply forecasts while trimming corn demand and the soybean harvest estimate. Chicago December corn fell 45 cents to $5.84 per bushel and November soybeans dropped 58-3/4 cents.
Losses were compounded by lower energy prices and a stronger U.S. dollar.
Higher U.S. corn supplies and lower demand expectations add to bearish pressure on feed grain prices, which lowers feed input costs for buyers. The smaller soybean crop estimate partly offsets this for soy-based feeds.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The July 12 USDA report raised corn supply and cut demand forecasts, and Dec corn fell 45 cents, with lower energy prices and a stronger dollar adding to the drop.